Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.001924 0.002043 0.002166 0.002304 0.002453 0.002610 0.002788
2025-04-20 0.001692 0.001852 0.002025 0.002225 0.002452 0.002702 0.003000
2025-04-27 0.001588 0.001781 0.001995 0.002251 0.002552 0.002897 0.003323
2025-05-04 0.001525 0.001744 0.001994 0.002303 0.002676 0.003117 0.003684
2025-05-11 0.001486 0.001729 0.002013 0.002372 0.002819 0.003364 0.004087
2025-05-18 0.001429 0.001688 0.001996 0.002393 0.002900 0.003534 0.004402
2025-05-25 0.001348 0.001611 0.001929 0.002347 0.002891 0.003586 0.004561
2025-06-01 0.001287 0.001555 0.001884 0.002323 0.002906 0.003666 0.004761
2025-06-08 0.001250 0.001527 0.001872 0.002340 0.002973 0.003817 0.005063
2025-06-15 0.001200 0.001479 0.001832 0.002317 0.002984 0.003890 0.005256
2025-06-22 0.001157 0.001439 0.001798 0.002300 0.003001 0.003970 0.005464
2025-06-29 0.001118 0.001402 0.001767 0.002285 0.003018 0.004050 0.005675
2025-07-06 0.001067 0.001350 0.001719 0.002248 0.003010 0.004104 0.005866
2025-07-13 0.001003 0.001278 0.001640 0.002166 0.002933 0.004052 0.005891
2025-07-20 0.000981 0.001261 0.001636 0.002189 0.003010 0.004235 0.006302
2025-07-27 0.000969 0.001259 0.001651 0.002238 0.003128 0.004486 0.006846
2025-08-03 0.000964 0.001264 0.001677 0.002305 0.003276 0.004793 0.007512
2025-08-10 0.000944 0.001249 0.001672 0.002325 0.003352 0.004989 0.008003
2025-08-17 0.000906 0.001206 0.001626 0.002281 0.003322 0.005010 0.008178
2025-08-24 0.000877 0.001175 0.001595 0.002258 0.003326 0.005084 0.008458
2025-08-31 0.000861 0.001162 0.001590 0.002274 0.003394 0.005272 0.008969
2025-09-07 0.000835 0.001133 0.001561 0.002252 0.003395 0.005345 0.009261
2025-09-14 0.000812 0.001108 0.001537 0.002235 0.003407 0.005434 0.009593